New Poll Numbers Show 4-Point Swing Between Harris, Trump

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Vice President Kamala Harris reportedly leads former President Donald Trump by a four points in the Morning Consult's tracking poll released on Tuesday (October 22).

Harris reportedly has a 50% to 46% advantage among likely voters in the survey, which was released exactly two weeks before Election Day. An additional 2% of respondents said they'd side with a third-party option and another 2% didn't have an opinion.

Harris also had a 47% to 43% lead over Trump among independents, while 7% said they didn't know who they would pick and another 4% said they'd side with a third option.

Harris and Trump are reportedly deadlocked in the seven swing states, splitting battleground states and polling within the margin of error. according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll released on Monday (October 21). Trump currently leads in Arizona (49% to 46%) and North Carolina (50% to 47%); Harris leads in Georgia (51% to 47%), Michigan (49% to 47%), Pennsylvania (49% to 47%) and Wisconsin (50% to 47%); and both candidates are tied in Nevada at 48% among likely voters.

Harris is also reported to lead in Georgia (50% to 44%), Nevada (47% to 44%), Pennsylvania (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (50% to 46%), while Trump has the advantage in Arizona (50% to 44%), Michigan (47% to 46%) and North Carolina (49% to 45) among registered voters. The margin of error for the swing state poll results ranged from plus-or-minus 3.9 to 5 percentage points.

Harris is also reported to have a 49% to 48% edge over Trump nationally, which has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points.


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